Arab World's armed forces personnel decline

Originally published here

Data shows that the percentage of armed forces personnel has declined over the past decade.

By Nehal ElSherif


The percentage of Armed Forces personnel of the total labour force in most Arab countries has decreased since 2000, according to data by the World Bank.

After the 2011 uprisings spread across the Arab World demanding political, economic and social changes, the militaries of the different countries came under spotlight.

As the region gets ready for the fifth anniversary of the mass protests in January, Arab army forces are in the headlines due to the newest alliance formed to combat terrorism in the region.

Jordan’s armed forces personnel showed the sharpest drop from a 12.2 per cent of the labour force in 2000 to 6.7 per cent in 2013.


Interactive table on Tableau here


“A number of these armed forces are being trained by or engaged in joint exercises with the US armed forces and the US has for many years been advocating the slimming down of Arab armies. The US thinks in terms of the most efficient fighting machines and cost-effectiveness,” said Rosemary Hollis, Professor of Middle East Policy Studies at City University.

Other countries, including the oil-rich Gulf States, also showed a decrease in their percentages, though with a lower rate when compared to Jordan.

The reason, Hollis said, is that the Arab side tends to be influenced by factors different from the West.

“One reason is that the armed forces can be used as way to employ otherwise unemployed youth and potentially give opportunity for social mobility,” she added.

In Egypt, for example, the armed forces run a number of factories, and many people see it as more than just a fighting machine.

Meanwhile, Tunisia was the country with the lowest percentage in 2000 at 1.46 per cent of the total labour force. In 2013, it was 1.2 per cent.

Hollis said each state has a different aspect in terms of the traditional place of the armed forces within the country.

“In Tunisia, they are almost remarkable for not being a major factor in sustaining the state,” she added.





Unlike other countries, the army did not interfere when mass protests in 2011 forced then president Zine El Abidine Ben Ali to flee the country.  Hollis expects that recent attacks targeting tourists would prompt the US and European countries to help Tunisia “boost the security sector as opposed to increasing the number of armed forces personnel.”


Data for the West Bank and Gaza was only available between 2005 and 2012. Also, data was missing for Libya in 2010-2011.


Data source: World Bank
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